Prediction markets face midterms test

Democrats face a health care stress test following their Tuesday wins, encountering internal disagreements and limits on policy changes. Repealing Medicaid cuts or restoring Affordable Care Act subsidies remains difficult under President Trump, while Medicare for All gains momentum despite friction. Simultaneously, prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket face a major reliability test. With over $1.48 billion wagered on the midterm elections, these platforms are under increasing scrutiny regarding their ability to forecast political races accurately.